NFL Point Spread Picks Week 3

DENVER BRONCOS (-3.5) VS. Jacksonville Jaguars:through similar struggles as QB Matt Leinart has
The Broncos visit the Jaguars in Mile High as bothfailed to consistently get the ball to his star WR
teams come off a win in Week 2. The Jay Cutlerduo of Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin. The big
era is off to a great start (2-0), while the Daviddisparity between these two teams are found in
Garrard era has been less than smooth for thetheir defensive units as the Ravens once again
1-1 Jaguars. The Broncos have used new RBare one of the best in the league, while the
Travis Henry early in games to help open up theCardinals still give up a ton of yards. You can't
passing lanes for Cutler and things should be nodeny the talent on this team however and last
different here. The Jags played much better runweek's win over Seattle was big in that these
defense against the Falcons, after gettingwere the types of games the Cardinals habitually
shredded by the Titans in Week 1. Pro Bowl DT'sfound a way to lose. The fact that they were
Marcus Stroud and John Henderson will forceable to hang on and win against a decent
Henry to run outside in order to find decentopponent could signal that this team has figured
running room. Cutler in turn will be able to throwout how to win and to realize their vast potential.
on the Jaguar secondary, which is weak beyondConfidence will be high going into Baltimore and
corner Rashean Mathis. For the Jaguars, RB's Fredwe expect a good effort by Arizona.
Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew have not gottenThe Ravens have the advantage of playing at
the type of yardage they gathered last season,home and they will be extra focused after almost
which has hurt the passing game due to the factthrowing away last week's game against the Jets.
Garrard has had to throw in way too manyThe Ravens are also very tough as a home
third-and-long situations. The Broncos havefavorite against a non-division foe as they have
struggled against the run so far this season andgone 19-5-1 ATS when hosting a non-division foe.
so the Jags should be much better offensivelyLook for a big effort here from the Ravens. THE
due to a better running game. The Jaguars will stillPICK: Baltimore Ravens (-
have trouble throwing however as Denver hasKANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-2.5) VS. Minnesota
star CB Champ Bailey around to shut down halfVikings: The Chiefs played a very inspired game
the field.against a very tough Bears team on the road last
The Broncos are the much more talented teamweek, while the Vikings offense prevented
here and we are surprised this line is not higher.Minnesota from winning a game the Lions begged
The problem for Denver is that they have barelythem to win. Particularly troubling for the Vikings
gotten by two weak opponents (Buffalo, Oakland)was the horrid performance by QB Tarvaris
and if they don't run the ball, then they willJackson who clearly looks like he is not ready for
struggle. The Jaguars have two of the best DT'sthe full-time starting job as he threw for 4
in the game as we noted above and those twointerceptions and missed many open receivers.
could very well bottle up the Bronco rushingCoach Brad Childress has stated Jackson will start
attack. Look for a close one here. THE PICK:again this week and that should be good news for
Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5)the Chiefs who played much better on defense
******BEST BET*****NEW YORK JETS (-2.5)last week, although it was against a struggling
VS. Miami Dolphins:Bears offense. The Chiefs have ultra-talented RB
****BEST BET*****OAKLAND RAIDERS (-3) VS.Larry Johnson to fall back on and expect to see a
Cleveland Browns:large dose of him running against a very good
****STRONG OPINION*****NEW ENGLANDVikings run defense. QB Damon Huard should find
PATRIOTS (-16.5) VS Buffalo Bills:some passing lanes to throw to as Minnesota's
******BEST BET*****Indianapolis Colts (-5.5) VS.secondary is a clear weakness on an otherwise
HOUSTON TEXANS:solid defensive unit. Huard has had trouble locating
PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-8.5) VS. San Franciscostar TE Tony Gonzalez so far this season but this
49ers: Great match up here as the 2-0 49ersis the type of match up where there should be
visit the 2-0 Steelers in Pittsburgh. Both teamsample opportunities for the two to connect for
have been very efficient defensively and havesome decent yardage. If Huard is in fact able to
run the ball well on offense. This has the makingsget the ball to Gonzalez as we expect, then this
of a low scoring, grind-it-out affair that will eat upshould open up enough running room for Johnson
the clock. The Steelers will again lean on RB Willieto be able to make some good gains.
Parker who has run for over 100 yards in both ofThe Vikings passing game as we noted is a mess
their games so far this season, which has provenand things will continue to go south as long as
to be a very effective way to open up theJackson is starting. He has decent speed but his
passing game for QB Ben Roethlisberger. Thepassing mechanics are terrible and the Vikings
same goes for the 49ers as star RB Frank Gorewould be much better off with backup Kelly
ran for a big TD last week against St. Louis, whileHolcomb starting. Adrian Peterson found the going
made up for a lackluster passing game by QBa little tougher last week against Detroit and we
Alex Smith. Smith has struggled so far in boththe jury is still out on whether he can carry the
49ers wins but his ability to use his feet tofull rushing load for the duration of the year. The
escape the pocket will be very valuable against astruggles of the offense will give the Chiefs a
tough Steelers pass rush. Look for the 'Niners toprime opportunity to get on the board with their
take advantage of the short passing game asfirst win and don't think that they don't realize this.
Smith will try to find seams underneath to helpNo team wants to start 0-3 and so extra
keep the pressure at bay.motivation will be on the side of Kansas City.
This game will be a tough affair for both with aArrowhead is one of the toughest places in the
lot of hard-hitting defense and clock managementleague to play and this will further impact Jackson
being the main storyline. The Steelers are muchin a negative way. The Chiefs take one at home
better equipped to succeed under these types ofin front of their crazed crowd. If Jackson misses
game scenarios and they should use the homethis game with injury (he has a strained groin)
crowd to once again take control of a youngthen stay away from this one. THE PICK: Kansas
team like they did last week against Buffalo. THECity Chiefs (-2.5) (only if Jackson plays or else
PICK: Pittsburgh Steelers (-8.5)pass)
CHICAGO BEARS (-3) VS. Dallas Cowboys: The*****STRONG OPINION****San Diego Chargers
surprising Dallas Cowboys head into Soldier Field to(-4.5) VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS:
take on Chicago Bears in an early season******STRONG OPINION****TAMPA BAY
heavyweight battle between two prime NFLBUCCANEERS (-3.5) VS. St. Louis Rams:
contenders. The Bears once again are struggling*******BEST BET*****Carolina Panthers (-3.5)
offensively as they barely beat a terrible ChiefsVS. ATLANTA FALCONS:
team at home last week, while the CowboysPHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-6) VS. Detroit Lions:
continue to roll offensively as they went intoThe Eagles have been a huge disappointment as
Miami and easily handled the Dolphins. Dallas QBtheir 0-2 start has many in Philly land questioning
Tony Romo has been fantastic through twohow good this team really is. QB Donovan McNabb
games and he certainly looks like the real deal.looks rusty after missing the second half of last
After getting shredded by the Giants duringseason with injury and he is already hearing the
opening week, the Dallas defense responded withboo-birds from the Philly faithful. The running
a nice game against Miami by picking off fourgame has also struggled as RB Brian Westbrook
Trent Green passes. If the defense can continuehasn't yet had the type of big game he routinely
to play at such a high level, then things truly canachieved last year. This team is still very talented
be special for this Cowboys squad. Despite theirand in the weak NFC, they still have time to right
offensive struggles, the Bears defense is stillthe ship and be a solid contender. They need a
top-notch and will certainly be the biggest test forwin first and they get a 2-0 Lions team that is
Romo and Co. The Cowboys will not find the typegaining confidence after consecutive hard-fought
of passing lanes with Bear CB's Charles Tillmanwins over the Raiders and Vikings. Off course
and Nathan Vasher in the secondary as they didboth of those teams are in the bottom third in
against the Giants and Dolphins. So look for Romothe league talent wise so let's not go overboard
to find his favorite target, TE Jason Witten whowith their early run. The Eagles are sitting on a big
will face a pivotal battle against MLB Brian Urlacher.game and the Lions are the type of
If Witten can win this battle, then Dallas will be inself-destructing team that gets affected by the
business. If Urlacher wins, then the Cowboystype of raucous crowd they will see in Philadelphia.
could find themselves bogged down on theQB Jon Kitna is always prone to interceptions and
offensive side of the ball. For Rex Grossman, hethe solid Eagles defense will put the heat on him
must try and find some consistency and soon asthroughout. Look for Philly to put it all together in
the Chicago fan base is growing increasinglya dominant home win. THE PICK: Philadelphia
impatient with his turnover-filled ways. The DallasEagles (-6)
secondary can be thrown on and so GrossmanSEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-3.5) VS. Cincinnati
has the chance to get himself on track. RB CedricBengals: The Bengals were absolutely humiliated
Benson's 100-plus yard effort last week was biglast week against the Browns in Cleveland as they
news as his production is tied in to whatallowed Jamal Lewis to run for over 200 yards
Grossman will be able to do throwing the ball. Theagainst them and Derek Anderson to throw for 5
home crowd should be raucous with the nationallyTD's!!!!! Giving up over 50 points is disgraceful and it
hated Cowboys coming into town so look for awon't get any easier against a Seattle offense
bigger boost on both sides of the ball for Chicago.has that even more weapons than the Browns.
Special teams will also play a role here as bothOffense is not a problem for the Bengals either
kickers might be called on to make kicks in whatas QB Carson Palmer racked up a ridiculous 6
is expected to be a low-scoring game.passing TD's which helped WR Chad Johnson gain
The Cowboys have a good chance to be 3-0over 200 receiving yards. Those types of
against a flawed Bears team but the fact theynumbers won't be repeated against a decent
are playing the second in back-to-back roadSeattle defense but this game figures to be an
games is a red handicapping flag. Teams thatoffensive battle.
have won and covered their first game onThe Seahawks haven't gotten totally on track but
back-to-back road games have gone 10-21-1 ATSthis is still almost the same team that went to
in the second road game. The Bears are due forthe Super Bowl two seasons ago. RB Shaun
a lockdown defensive game and Grossman is alsoAlexander is once again running with confidence
due for a decent passing game. The Bears will winand QB Matt Hasselbeck is growing more and
a squeaker. THE PICK: Chicago Bears (-3)more comfortable with WR Deion Branch. The
*******WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-4) VS. New'Hawks need this one due to the fact they are
York Giants*******STRONG OPINIONthen heading out onto to the road for
BALTIMORE RAVENS (- VS. Arizona Cardinals:back-to-back tough opponents waiting for them in
The Ravens and Cardinals both got on the boardSan Francisco and Pittsburgh. The Seahawks
last week as Baltimore barely knocked off theshould put up a good number of points on a very
Jets at home, while Arizona held on for anweak Bengals defense and they should also be
impressive victory over the Seahawks. For themuch more resistant to the Palmer-Johnson air
Ravens, the availability of QB Steve McNair is stillshow. The Seahawk crowd is also possibly the
in question as backup Kyle Boller played well lastloudest in the league and so it all adds up to a
week in his place. Despite whoever does wind upSeattle win and cover. THE PICK: Seattle
starting, the Ravens passing game have beenSeahawks (-3.5)
shaky this season despite having decent weapons******BEST BET******NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
on WR's Derrick Mason and Mark Clayton, along(-3.5) VS.
with TE Todd Heap. The Cardinals have gone