Ness Notes for August 9, 2006

Another day and another win by the Dodgers. LASantana has a 4.31 ERA since this year's break,
won its 11th consecutive game last night, as Gregbut also has a 3-0 record as the Twins have won
Maddux won his Dodger Stadium debut 4-2 overall five of his outings. Minnesota has won 14 of
the Rockies. You are all familiar with thisSantana's last 15 starts and his strikeout-to-walk
ever-growing story. LA lost 13 of 14 to open theratio on the season is an amazing 168-35. He's 8-2
season's second half but continues to lead thewith a 2.66 ERA in 19 career appearances against
way in MLB these days with the longest activethe Tigers, including 13 starts. While Santana has
winning streak of any team. The A's with sixfared well against the Tigers, Bonderman has had
straight wins and the Angels with four straightproblems versus Minnesota. He is 2-5 with a 6.17
wins are the only teams with winning streaks ofERA and a .336 opponent batting average in 10
greater than three.career appearances against the Twins.
My free play for Wednesday is on the LAThe White Sox beat the Yanks last night 6-5 in 11
Dodgers over the Col Rockies at 10:10 ET. It's ainnings, tying the game on a Paul Kornerko HR in
HUGE Wednesday for me in the AL, as I openthe 9th (River's third blown save in 31 chances
with my 15* AL Getaway Day Game of thethis year). It was Chicago's first win in four tries
Month and close with my 20* AL Game of thethis year vs New York and just the team's ninth
Month (lone 20* AL game in the month ofwin in 23 games since the break. Tonight on ESPN
August). I'm on a 4-0 run with my 20* AL and NLat 8:05 ET, it's Randy Johnson against Jon Garland.
Games of the Month (won both in May and JulyJohnson owns a 5.11 ERA on the year but he's still
while passing in the IL-heavy month of June), so11-9 on the season with the Yankees winning 14
DON'T miss out!of his 24 starts.
The amazing thing about LA's current run is thatJon Garland goes for the White Sox and he hasn't
bettors have been able to play 'on' LA, withoutlost since June 8 (to Detroit). He's posted a 3.26
paying a premium. LA began its winning streakERA over his last nine starts with a 8-0 record.
with a three-game home sweep of the NationalsDespite Chicago's recent struggles, it should be
from 7/28-7/30, never opening as more thannoted the White Sox are 31-19 (.620) against
$1.40-favorite. The team then won consecutiveteams that currently have a winning record.
three-game series at Cincinnati and Florida, eachThat's the best record of its kind for any major
time opening as underdogs. The Dodgers haveleague team.
begun this week 2-0, opening as $1.60-favoritesCFB notes
on Monday, $1.50 last night and opened tonight atTheir were a total of 23 schools which entered
minus-$1.25!the 2005 season with new head coaches last
The Royals snapped their four-game losing streakyear. There were only 10 new hires this year but
last night, by beating the Red Sox 6-4. Thatthen with the tragic death of Northwestern's
leaves the Indians and Rangers, who have bothRandy Walker over the summer, this year's
lost four straight, with MLB's longest active losing"coaching carousel" grew to 11. In a special
streak. The Indians are a most interesting case,weekend edition of Ness Notes (available
as although four teams in MLB own worse overallSaturday morning), I'll preview all 11 schools and
records than Cleveland's 47-64 mark, the Indianscoaches.
are minus-$2,513 (at $100/game) when it comesThe 23 coaching changes of last year broke down
to the "moneyline" standings.like this. There were 10 schools bringing in coaches
The Pirates come in with the second-worstwith previous experience (Spurrier at South
moneyline record at minus-$2,124. While sevenCarolina and Meyer at Florida being the biggest
other AL teams having losing moneyline records,names) and 13 schools which were giving their
the next-worst team to the Indians are the'guys' their first head coaching job at the Division
Orioles, who at 51-63, are just minus-$608. That'sI-A level. Of course the biggest name in that
quite a gap ($1,905)! A quick check at the top ofgroup was Notre Dame's Charlie Weis.
the moneyline standings shows the Tigers at aFrom the group of 10 with previous experience,
dominating plus-$3,393, the Twins in second atMeyer at Florida (7-5), Miles at LSU (9-3) and
plus-$1,937 and the Mets in third at plus-$1,363.Spurrier at South Carolina (6-5), took over teams
The Mets are far and away the NL leader in thiswhich had produced winning records in 2004.
department, as their closest pursuer is the 57-56Meyer, Miles and Spurrier all improved their
Arizona D'backs, who check in at plus-$531.school's records in 2005, going a combined 27-10
Wondering about those red-hot Dodgers? TheSU (compared to 22-13), although their ATS
team's 11-game winning streak still leaves themrecords were nearly identical from the previous
slightly on the minus-side, at minus-$49. For theyear, 17-17-2 compared to 17-17-1!
record, the Dodgers happen to be MLB's biggestFrom the group of seven which inherited teams
'over' team, going 64-44-5 on the year.with losing records from 2004, the 2005 season
Other highlights from last night included Minnesota'swas not an improvement as a whole. The
4-2 win over the Tigers. It gives Minnesota acombined records of the seven schools in 2004
41-13 record over its last 54-games (one-third ofwere 22-55 SU and 31-43 ATS. The 2005 records
MLB's 162-game schedule). The New Yorkof those same schools totaled 20-58 SU and
Yankees of 1998 own the best 54-game record28-46-1 ATS.
of any team (45-9) since MLB adopted aOf note was Hal Mumme who took over a New
162-game schedule in the 1961 season.Mexico State team that was 5-6 SU and 6-5 ATS
The Mets beat the Padres last night 3-2. Metin 2004 but went 0-12 and 2-10 ATS in 2005. On
starter Steve Trachsel is now 9-1 in his last 11the flip side there was Walt Harris of Stanford.
starts (since June 9), despite an earned runThe Cardinal were 4-7 (6-5) in 2004 and while
average of 5.40 over that span. Trachsel leadsthey only went 5-6 in 2005, they were an
the major league in wins over that span, butimpressive 7-2-1 ATS.
ranks 85th in ERA among pitchers with at leastThere were 13 coaches last year making their
50 innings pitched.Division I-A debuts. Four were taking over schools
The Marlins beat the Nationals last night 4-2, aswhich were coming off winning records in 2004,
rookie Ricky Nolasco won his 10th game. IMiami-Ohio, Oklahoma State, Pittsburgh and Utah.
mentioned Detroit's rookie pitchers yesterday andAll four of those teams did worse in 2005, with
would be remiss if I didn't mention what's going onOklahoma State and Pittsburgh going from 7-5 to
in South Florida. Florida rookies have combined for4-7 and 8-4 to 5-6, respectively. Combined, the
35 wins this season, eight more than any otherfour teams fell from collective records of 35-14
major league team (Detroit is next with 27) andSU (29-18 ATS) in 2004 to 23-22 SU (19-24
21 more than any other National League teamATS).
(Chicago is next with 14).That leaves the nine coaches who took over
Wednesday's MLB schedule is again full withteams with losing records from 2004. Those
15-games on the menu. Two AL games headlineschools posted collective records of 35-67 SU
the card. The Twins and Tigers play the rubber(41-60 ATS) in 2004 and actually improved in
game of their series in Detroit at 7:05 ET. Johan2005, going a collective 40-61 SU and 48-48-1
Santana (12-5,3.22) starts for Minnesota andATS. Leading the way was Notre Dame which
Jeremy Bonderman (11-5, 3.81) for Detroit.went from 6-6 (6-6) to 9-3 (7-5) under Charlie
Santana has been nearly unbeatable in theWeis. With less fanfare, Skip Holtz at East
season's second half the last few years, goingCarolina, led the Pirates to a 5-6 mark as well as
33-3 with a 2.31 ERA in 49 starts after the breaka very impressive 8-3 ATS record (team was
since 2003.2-9 SU and 5-6 ATS in 2004).